The Behavioral Origins of WarUniversity of Michigan Press, 2009 M04 9 - 280 páginas In The Behavioral Origins of War, D. Scott Bennett and Allan C. Stam analyze systemic, binary, and individual factors in order to evaluate a wide variety of theories about the origins of war. Challenging the view that theories of war are nothing more than competing explanations for observed behavior, this expansive study incorporates variables from multiple theories and thus accounts for war's multiplicity of causes. While individual theories offer partial explanations for international conflict, only a valid set of theories can provide a complete explanation. Bennett and Stam's unconventional yet methodical approach opens the way for cumulative scientific progress in international relations. D. Scott Bennett is Professor of Political Science at the Pennsylvania State University. Allan C. Stam is Associate Professor in the Government Department at Dartmouth College. |
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Página xi
... various sections of the book at political science de- partments around the country , where numerous critical ( and even some constructive ) comments improved the final product . These talks include seminars held at the government and ...
... various sections of the book at political science de- partments around the country , where numerous critical ( and even some constructive ) comments improved the final product . These talks include seminars held at the government and ...
Página 2
... various descriptions and (2) reach some sense of consensus about which stories are the most useful or valuable in un- derstanding international political processes. The abandonment of “failed” theories or presumed empirical regularities ...
... various descriptions and (2) reach some sense of consensus about which stories are the most useful or valuable in un- derstanding international political processes. The abandonment of “failed” theories or presumed empirical regularities ...
Página 4
... various theo- retical perspectives may simultaneously influence the conflicts we are trying to understand — dualistic elimination is inappropriate . In addition , because we view human behavior as probabilistic rather than deterministic ...
... various theo- retical perspectives may simultaneously influence the conflicts we are trying to understand — dualistic elimination is inappropriate . In addition , because we view human behavior as probabilistic rather than deterministic ...
Página 5
D. Scott Bennett, Allan C. Stam III. content of various arguments purporting to predict or to explain the relative likelihood of war. Taking a slightly different approach to the problem of falsification and theory rejection than Popper ...
D. Scott Bennett, Allan C. Stam III. content of various arguments purporting to predict or to explain the relative likelihood of war. Taking a slightly different approach to the problem of falsification and theory rejection than Popper ...
Página 6
... various empirical conjectures drive our col- lective research agendas and often mark the starting point for policy prescriptions. To date, however, only limited efforts exist to compare systematically the predictive power of the myriad ...
... various empirical conjectures drive our col- lective research agendas and often mark the starting point for policy prescriptions. To date, however, only limited efforts exist to compare systematically the predictive power of the myriad ...
Contenido
15 | |
The Practice and Pitfalls of Comparative Hypothesis Testing | 35 |
4 Arguments and Operational Measures | 70 |
5 Findings | 107 |
6 Assessing a Models Reliability across Space and Time | 165 |
7 Conclusion | 200 |
EUGene | 223 |
Appendix B Measuring Expected Utility | 232 |
Notes | 249 |
Bibliography | 257 |
Index | 277 |
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Términos y frases comunes
alliance approach argue arguments arms races balance of power baseline Bueno de Mesquita capabilities causal compute conflict behavior conflict initiation conjectures contiguity correlate data set decision defense pacts democracy democratic peace dependent variable Deterrence directed dyad directed dyad-year dispute initiation disputes that escalate dyadic Dyads No Dispute empirical equilibrium predictions estimate EUGene expected utility theory explanations factors fixed-effects game theoretic game tree hypotheses increase initiation and escalation interaction international conflict international politics international system interstate leaders Lemke levels of analysis logic logit measures Mesquita and Lalman military multinomial logit multiple NATO nondirected nuclear weapons Oneal outcomes percent periods Politically Relevant Dyads Polity Change potential power transition Prob problem rational choice theory Reciprocated Force region relative risk risk of conflict risk of disputes risk ratios Russett scores Stam suggest system power concentration target theoretical tion tional trade dependence Unilateral Force values versus