The Behavioral Origins of WarUniversity of Michigan Press, 2009 M04 9 - 280 páginas In The Behavioral Origins of War, D. Scott Bennett and Allan C. Stam analyze systemic, binary, and individual factors in order to evaluate a wide variety of theories about the origins of war. Challenging the view that theories of war are nothing more than competing explanations for observed behavior, this expansive study incorporates variables from multiple theories and thus accounts for war's multiplicity of causes. While individual theories offer partial explanations for international conflict, only a valid set of theories can provide a complete explanation. Bennett and Stam's unconventional yet methodical approach opens the way for cumulative scientific progress in international relations. D. Scott Bennett is Professor of Political Science at the Pennsylvania State University. Allan C. Stam is Associate Professor in the Government Department at Dartmouth College. |
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... occurred in the past and , given similar conditions , will occur in the future . Most international relations " theories " simply describe conditions where some factor supposedly influenced the likelihood or nature of some past ...
... occurred in the past and , given similar conditions , will occur in the future . Most international relations " theories " simply describe conditions where some factor supposedly influenced the likelihood or nature of some past ...
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... occur in our data and (2) the relative explanatory power of each variable on a comparable scale. If a variable marking a prediction derived from some “theory” does not contribute to the overall likelihood of the statistical model, or ...
... occur in our data and (2) the relative explanatory power of each variable on a comparable scale. If a variable marking a prediction derived from some “theory” does not contribute to the overall likelihood of the statistical model, or ...
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... occur. Because each dyad-year contains two states, this choice allows us to incorporate vari- ables such as those ... occurred between the United States and the USSR, it is impossible for us to tell whether NATO or MAD (or some other ...
... occur. Because each dyad-year contains two states, this choice allows us to incorporate vari- ables such as those ... occurred between the United States and the USSR, it is impossible for us to tell whether NATO or MAD (or some other ...
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... occurs if the coefficients in ẞ vary over units and time . If a conjecture " works " or a hypothesis holds up for ... occur , given that fighting is an inefficient conflict resolu- tion or bargaining mechanism . In any situation where ...
... occurs if the coefficients in ẞ vary over units and time . If a conjecture " works " or a hypothesis holds up for ... occur , given that fighting is an inefficient conflict resolu- tion or bargaining mechanism . In any situation where ...
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Contenido
15 | |
The Practice and Pitfalls of Comparative Hypothesis Testing | 35 |
4 Arguments and Operational Measures | 70 |
5 Findings | 107 |
6 Assessing a Models Reliability across Space and Time | 165 |
7 Conclusion | 200 |
EUGene | 223 |
Appendix B Measuring Expected Utility | 232 |
Notes | 249 |
Bibliography | 257 |
Index | 277 |
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Términos y frases comunes
alliance approach argue arguments arms races balance of power baseline Bueno de Mesquita capabilities causal compute conflict behavior conflict initiation conjectures contiguity correlate data set decision defense pacts democracy democratic peace dependent variable Deterrence directed dyad directed dyad-year dispute initiation disputes that escalate dyadic Dyads No Dispute empirical equilibrium predictions estimate EUGene expected utility theory explanations factors fixed-effects game theoretic game tree hypotheses increase initiation and escalation interaction international conflict international politics international system interstate leaders Lemke levels of analysis logic logit measures Mesquita and Lalman military multinomial logit multiple NATO nondirected nuclear weapons Oneal outcomes percent periods Politically Relevant Dyads Polity Change potential power transition Prob problem rational choice theory Reciprocated Force region relative risk risk of conflict risk of disputes risk ratios Russett scores Stam suggest system power concentration target theoretical tion tional trade dependence Unilateral Force values versus