The Behavioral Origins of WarUniversity of Michigan Press, 2009 M04 9 - 280 páginas In The Behavioral Origins of War, D. Scott Bennett and Allan C. Stam analyze systemic, binary, and individual factors in order to evaluate a wide variety of theories about the origins of war. Challenging the view that theories of war are nothing more than competing explanations for observed behavior, this expansive study incorporates variables from multiple theories and thus accounts for war's multiplicity of causes. While individual theories offer partial explanations for international conflict, only a valid set of theories can provide a complete explanation. Bennett and Stam's unconventional yet methodical approach opens the way for cumulative scientific progress in international relations. D. Scott Bennett is Professor of Political Science at the Pennsylvania State University. Allan C. Stam is Associate Professor in the Government Department at Dartmouth College. |
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... factors that contribute in important ways to both the initiation and the escalation of militarized disputes. However, while many theories do contribute to the overall prediction of international conflict, most theories are quite weak ...
... factors that contribute in important ways to both the initiation and the escalation of militarized disputes. However, while many theories do contribute to the overall prediction of international conflict, most theories are quite weak ...
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... factors leading to the prob- abilistic nature of political behavior , ranging from the tiny influences of unmeasured or immeasurable factors to conscious or unconscious strategies of randomized behavior , irrational or impulsive ...
... factors leading to the prob- abilistic nature of political behavior , ranging from the tiny influences of unmeasured or immeasurable factors to conscious or unconscious strategies of randomized behavior , irrational or impulsive ...
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... factors simultaneously influence conflict. It also allows us to judge whether or not some conjecture is consistent with more than one unique event when controlling for other explanations, thereby suggesting elimination of this factor as ...
... factors simultaneously influence conflict. It also allows us to judge whether or not some conjecture is consistent with more than one unique event when controlling for other explanations, thereby suggesting elimination of this factor as ...
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... factors might be more important than the factors included in the analysis and that the subsequent inclusion of the potentially confounding explanations could even reverse the direction of the previous findings (Gowa 1999; Mansfield and ...
... factors might be more important than the factors included in the analysis and that the subsequent inclusion of the potentially confounding explanations could even reverse the direction of the previous findings (Gowa 1999; Mansfield and ...
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... factors. This suggests that debates such as whether realist or domestic politics approaches are “best” simply miss the point. A more fruitful question to ask is how much, or when, or under what conditions does each con- jecture appear ...
... factors. This suggests that debates such as whether realist or domestic politics approaches are “best” simply miss the point. A more fruitful question to ask is how much, or when, or under what conditions does each con- jecture appear ...
Contenido
15 | |
The Practice and Pitfalls of Comparative Hypothesis Testing | 35 |
4 Arguments and Operational Measures | 70 |
5 Findings | 107 |
6 Assessing a Models Reliability across Space and Time | 165 |
7 Conclusion | 200 |
EUGene | 223 |
Appendix B Measuring Expected Utility | 232 |
Notes | 249 |
Bibliography | 257 |
Index | 277 |
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Términos y frases comunes
alliance approach argue arguments arms races balance of power baseline Bueno de Mesquita capabilities causal compute conflict behavior conflict initiation conjectures contiguity correlate data set decision defense pacts democracy democratic peace dependent variable Deterrence directed dyad directed dyad-year dispute initiation disputes that escalate dyadic Dyads No Dispute empirical equilibrium predictions estimate EUGene expected utility theory explanations factors fixed-effects game theoretic game tree hypotheses increase initiation and escalation interaction international conflict international politics international system interstate leaders Lemke levels of analysis logic logit measures Mesquita and Lalman military multinomial logit multiple NATO nondirected nuclear weapons Oneal outcomes percent periods Politically Relevant Dyads Polity Change potential power transition Prob problem rational choice theory Reciprocated Force region relative risk risk of conflict risk of disputes risk ratios Russett scores Stam suggest system power concentration target theoretical tion tional trade dependence Unilateral Force values versus