The Behavioral Origins of WarUniversity of Michigan Press, 2009 M04 9 - 280 páginas In The Behavioral Origins of War, D. Scott Bennett and Allan C. Stam analyze systemic, binary, and individual factors in order to evaluate a wide variety of theories about the origins of war. Challenging the view that theories of war are nothing more than competing explanations for observed behavior, this expansive study incorporates variables from multiple theories and thus accounts for war's multiplicity of causes. While individual theories offer partial explanations for international conflict, only a valid set of theories can provide a complete explanation. Bennett and Stam's unconventional yet methodical approach opens the way for cumulative scientific progress in international relations. D. Scott Bennett is Professor of Political Science at the Pennsylvania State University. Allan C. Stam is Associate Professor in the Government Department at Dartmouth College. |
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... democratic peace proposition. We include key variables from these popular theories of conflict in a multi- nomial logit analyses of dispute and war behavior. We find that many theories suggest factors that contribute in important ways ...
... democratic peace proposition. We include key variables from these popular theories of conflict in a multi- nomial logit analyses of dispute and war behavior. We find that many theories suggest factors that contribute in important ways ...
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... democratic peace proposition against a variety of control variables (Maoz and Russett 1993; Russett and Oneal 2001). Bueno de Mesquita and Lalman (1992) tested their expected utility predictions along with other predictions drawn from ...
... democratic peace proposition against a variety of control variables (Maoz and Russett 1993; Russett and Oneal 2001). Bueno de Mesquita and Lalman (1992) tested their expected utility predictions along with other predictions drawn from ...
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... democratic peace) is useful and can stand on its own. This is be- cause they claim that the supposition can be used to make unique pre- dictions about future events (based implicitly on the assumption that the past is a good predictor ...
... democratic peace) is useful and can stand on its own. This is be- cause they claim that the supposition can be used to make unique pre- dictions about future events (based implicitly on the assumption that the past is a good predictor ...
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... Democratic Peace 7. Expected Utility 8. Geographic Contiguity 9. Nuclear Deterrence 10. Power Transition II . Rational Deterrence 12. Trade Interdependence International System Level of Analysis 13. Economic Cycles/Kondratieff Waves 14 ...
... Democratic Peace 7. Expected Utility 8. Geographic Contiguity 9. Nuclear Deterrence 10. Power Transition II . Rational Deterrence 12. Trade Interdependence International System Level of Analysis 13. Economic Cycles/Kondratieff Waves 14 ...
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... democratic peace theory” is not one clear theory. Rather, the so-called democratic peace is a relatively strong empirical regularity in search of a theory, or explanation, with scholars pursuing multiple arguments about the causes of ...
... democratic peace theory” is not one clear theory. Rather, the so-called democratic peace is a relatively strong empirical regularity in search of a theory, or explanation, with scholars pursuing multiple arguments about the causes of ...
Contenido
15 | |
The Practice and Pitfalls of Comparative Hypothesis Testing | 35 |
4 Arguments and Operational Measures | 70 |
5 Findings | 107 |
6 Assessing a Models Reliability across Space and Time | 165 |
7 Conclusion | 200 |
EUGene | 223 |
Appendix B Measuring Expected Utility | 232 |
Notes | 249 |
Bibliography | 257 |
Index | 277 |
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alliance approach argue arguments arms races balance of power baseline Bueno de Mesquita capabilities causal compute conflict behavior conflict initiation conjectures contiguity correlate data set decision defense pacts democracy democratic peace dependent variable Deterrence directed dyad directed dyad-year dispute initiation disputes that escalate dyadic Dyads No Dispute empirical equilibrium predictions estimate EUGene expected utility theory explanations factors fixed-effects game theoretic game tree hypotheses increase initiation and escalation interaction international conflict international politics international system interstate leaders Lemke levels of analysis logic logit measures Mesquita and Lalman military multinomial logit multiple NATO nondirected nuclear weapons Oneal outcomes percent periods Politically Relevant Dyads Polity Change potential power transition Prob problem rational choice theory Reciprocated Force region relative risk risk of conflict risk of disputes risk ratios Russett scores Stam suggest system power concentration target theoretical tion tional trade dependence Unilateral Force values versus