The Behavioral Origins of WarUniversity of Michigan Press, 2009 M04 9 - 280 páginas In The Behavioral Origins of War, D. Scott Bennett and Allan C. Stam analyze systemic, binary, and individual factors in order to evaluate a wide variety of theories about the origins of war. Challenging the view that theories of war are nothing more than competing explanations for observed behavior, this expansive study incorporates variables from multiple theories and thus accounts for war's multiplicity of causes. While individual theories offer partial explanations for international conflict, only a valid set of theories can provide a complete explanation. Bennett and Stam's unconventional yet methodical approach opens the way for cumulative scientific progress in international relations. D. Scott Bennett is Professor of Political Science at the Pennsylvania State University. Allan C. Stam is Associate Professor in the Government Department at Dartmouth College. |
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Página ix
... conjectures, and hypotheses of international conbict in hand, we believe that it is appropriate and necessary to conduct a thorough empirical appraisal of those arguments. It is also important and necessary to devote signiacant ...
... conjectures, and hypotheses of international conbict in hand, we believe that it is appropriate and necessary to conduct a thorough empirical appraisal of those arguments. It is also important and necessary to devote signiacant ...
Página 1
... conjectures, and normatively grounded assertions that constitute the discipline. The study of international conbict exempliaes these problems. Over the last forty years, the development of models and conjectures purporting to explain ...
... conjectures, and normatively grounded assertions that constitute the discipline. The study of international conbict exempliaes these problems. Over the last forty years, the development of models and conjectures purporting to explain ...
Página 3
... conjectures in international politics. He notes an important caveat to applying his method of elimination, arguing that it is appropriate only if a theory may be demonstrably falsiaable, that is, if the theory is “sufaciently precise to ...
... conjectures in international politics. He notes an important caveat to applying his method of elimination, arguing that it is appropriate only if a theory may be demonstrably falsiaable, that is, if the theory is “sufaciently precise to ...
Página 5
... conjecture is consistent with more than one unique event when controlling for other explanations, thereby suggesting ... conjectures based on ontological rigor or the internal logical consistency of the arguments. Rather, we focus solely ...
... conjecture is consistent with more than one unique event when controlling for other explanations, thereby suggesting ... conjectures based on ontological rigor or the internal logical consistency of the arguments. Rather, we focus solely ...
Página 6
... conjectures, represented by their associated variables and operational indicators. SCIENCE AND CUMULATIVE PROGRESS IN INTERNATIONAL POLITICS Clearly, evaluating the relative explanatory power of different empirical assertions and ...
... conjectures, represented by their associated variables and operational indicators. SCIENCE AND CUMULATIVE PROGRESS IN INTERNATIONAL POLITICS Clearly, evaluating the relative explanatory power of different empirical assertions and ...
Contenido
15 | |
The Practice and Pitfalls of Comparative Hypothesis Testing | 35 |
4 Arguments and Operational Measures | 70 |
5 Findings | 107 |
6 Assessing a Models Reliability across Space and Time | 165 |
7 Conclusion | 200 |
EUGene | 223 |
Appendix B Measuring Expected Utility | 232 |
Notes | 249 |
Bibliography | 257 |
Index | 277 |
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Términos y frases comunes
alliance approach argue arguments arms races arst axed-effects balance of power baseline Bueno de Mesquita capabilities causal coefacients compute conbict behavior conbict initiation conjectures contiguity correlate data set decision defense pacts democracy democratic peace dependent variable difacult directed dyad directed dyad-year dispute initiation disputes that escalate dyadic empirical equilibrium predictions estimate EUGene expected utility theory explanations factors game theoretic game tree hypotheses inbuence increase initiation and escalation interaction international conbict international politics international system interstate leaders levels of analysis logic logit measures Mesquita and Lalman multinomial logit multiple NATO nondirected nuclear weapons omitted variable bias Outcome Prob percent periods politically relevant dyads potential power transition problem rational choice theory Reciprocated Force region relative risk risk of conbict risk of disputes risk ratios Russett scores speciac Stam state’s statistically signiacant suggest system power concentration target taub theoretical tion tional trade dependence Unilateral Force versus